Intra-Host Evolution Provides for the Continuous Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 Variants.

Variants of concern (VOC) in SARS-CoV-2 refer to viruses whose viral genomes differ from the ancestor virus by ≥3 single-nucleotide variants (SNVs) and that show the potential for higher transmissibility and/or worse clinical progression. VOC have the potential to disrupt ongoing public health measures and vaccine efforts. Still, too little is known regarding how frequently new viral variants emerge and under what circumstances. We report a study to determine the degree of SARS-CoV-2 sequence evolution in 94 patients and to estimate the frequency at which highly diverse variants emerge. Two cases accumulated ≥9 SNVs over a 2-week period and one case accumulated 23 SNVs over 3 weeks, including three nonsynonymous mutations in the spike protein (D138H, E554D, D614G). The remainder of the infected patients did not show signs of intra-host evolution. We estimate that in as much as 2% of hospitalized COVID-19 cases, variants with multiple mutations in the spike glycoprotein emerge in as little as 1 month of persistent intra-host virus replication. This suggests the continued local emergence of variants with multiple nonsynonymous SNVs, even in patients without overt immune deficiency. Surveillance by sequencing for (i) viremic COVID-19 patients, (ii) patients suspected of reinfection, and (iii) patients with diminished immune function may offer broad public health benefits. IMPORTANCE New SARS-CoV-2 variants can potentially disrupt ongoing public health measures and vaccine efforts. Still, little is known regarding how frequently new viral variants emerge and under what circumstances. Based on this study, we estimate that in hospitalized COVID-19 cases, variants with multiple mutations may emerge locally in as little as 1 month, even in patients without overt immune deficiency. Surveillance by sequencing for continuously shedding patients, patients suspected of reinfection, and patients with diminished immune function may offer broad public health benefits.

High-Density Amplicon Sequencing Identifies Community Spread and Ongoing Evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in the Southern United States.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is constantly evolving. Prior studies focused on high-case-density locations, such as the northern and western metropolitan areas of the United States. This study demonstrates continued SARS-CoV-2 evolution in a suburban southern region of the United States by high-density amplicon sequencing of symptomatic cases. 57% of strains carry the spike D614G variant, which is associated with higher genome copy numbers, and its prevalence expands with time. Four strains carry a deletion in a predicted stem loop of the 3' UTR. The data are consistent with community spread within local populations and the larger continental United States. The data instill confidence in current testing sensitivity and validate "testing by sequencing" as an option to uncover cases, particularly nonstandard coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) clinical presentations. This study contributes to the understanding of COVID-19 through an extensive set of genomes from a non-urban setting and informs vaccine design by defining D614G as a dominant and emergent SARS-CoV-2 isolate in the United States.